JP3765150002
JP3765150002
HARMONIC DRIVE SYSTEMS
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Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)
The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 80/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±61.4% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk
Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta
Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Largely moves in line with the broader market.
Beta (Market Relation)
0.96x
DefensiveVolatility (5Y p.a.)
61.4% p.a.
5-Year HorizonMax Drawdown (5Y)
-66.3%
5-Year HorizonSharpe Ratio
0.04
Return / RiskSpeculative / High Risk: Score Basis:
Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix
Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.
Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe | Volatility (p.a.) | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Return (p.a.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Year | — | — | — | +80.3% |
| 3 Years | 69.8% | -61.1% | 0.29 | +23% |
| 5 Years | 61.4% | -66.3% | 0.04 | +4.6% |
| 10 Years | 53.6% | -80.3% | 0.11 | +8.4% |
Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)
Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.
🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 366.1 (Elevated multiple compression risk)
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (69.8%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (61.4%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (61.4% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -80.3% in the extended horizon.