CNE100000L48
CNE100000L48
CHINA FIRST HEAVY INDUSTRIES
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Elevated Business & Solvency Risk
Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 20/100).
Volatility Risk
Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta
Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.6x).
Beta (Market Relation)
0.61x
DefensiveVolatility (5Y p.a.)
34.5% p.a.
5-Year HorizonMax Drawdown (5Y)
-57.7%
5-Year HorizonSharpe Ratio
-0.21
Return / RiskSpeculative / High Risk: Score Basis:
Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix
Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.
Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe | Volatility (p.a.) | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Return (p.a.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Year | — | — | — | -5.1% |
| 3 Years | 39.0% | -57.7% | -0.07 | -0.1% |
| 5 Years | 34.5% | -57.7% | -0.21 | -4.7% |
| 10 Years | 34.6% | -64.9% | -0.23 | -5.6% |
Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)
Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Critical leverage: Debt-to-Equity is at 317%.
Unprofitable business model: The company is currently generating net losses.
🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 49.7 (Elevated multiple compression risk)
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (39.0%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (34.5%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (34.5% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -64.9% in the extended horizon.