CNE100000866
CNE100000866
CHINA RAILWAY GROUP LIMITED
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Elevated Business & Solvency Risk
Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 42/100).
Volatility Risk
Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta
Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.4x).
Beta (Market Relation)
0.37x
DefensiveVolatility (5Y p.a.)
30.9% p.a.
5-Year HorizonMax Drawdown (5Y)
-55.2%
5-Year HorizonSharpe Ratio
-0.25
Return / RiskSpeculative / High Risk: Score Basis:
Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix
Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.
High Volatility
Timeframe | Volatility (p.a.) | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Return (p.a.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Year | — | — | — | -26.2% |
| 3 Years | 27.3% | -43.2% | -0.52 | -11.7% |
| 5 Years | 30.9% | -55.2% | -0.25 | -5.4% |
| 10 Years | 27.9% | -59.3% | -0.27 | -5% |
Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)
Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (30.9% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -59.3% in the extended horizon.