HGV - Risk

Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 40/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves approx. 1.6x as much as the broader market.

Beta (Market Relation)

1.61x

Above average

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

39.0% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-42.2%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	-18.5%
3 Years	38.8%	-37.7%	-0.13	-2.7%
5 Years	39.0%	-42.2%	-0.22	-6.2%
10 Years	42.5%	-77.7%	0.01	—

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Critical leverage: Debt-to-Equity is at 624%.

High market risk: Beta of 1.61 indicates above-average volatility compared to the broader market.

Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (39.0% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -77.7% in the extended horizon.

Corporate Governance & ISS Scores

Shareholder rights, board structure and audit safety (Scale 1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk)

Overall Governance Risk

4 ISS Score: 4 / 10

Audit Risk

6 ISS Score: 6 / 10

Board Risk

2 ISS Score: 2 / 10

Short Ratio

8.13