ID1000134406
ID1000134406
Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk.
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Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)
The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 60/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±55.3% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk
Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.
Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta
Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Largely moves in line with the broader market.
Beta (Market Relation)
0.92x
DefensiveVolatility (5Y p.a.)
55.3% p.a.
5-Year HorizonMax Drawdown (5Y)
-81.8%
5-Year HorizonSharpe Ratio
-0.05
Return / RiskSpeculative / High Risk: Score Basis:
Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix
Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.
Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe | Volatility (p.a.) | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Return (p.a.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Year | — | — | — | +27.8% |
| 3 Years | 61.5% | -64.1% | 0.02 | +3.5% |
| 5 Years | 55.3% | -81.8% | -0.05 | +1.9% |
| 10 Years | 50.9% | -81.8% | 0.41 | +23.3% |
Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)
Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 77.1 (Elevated multiple compression risk)
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (61.5%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (55.3%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (55.3% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -81.8% in the extended horizon.