TLW.L - Risk

Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 50/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±73.3% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.8x).

Beta (Market Relation)

0.76x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

73.3% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-93.7%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

-0.41

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	-7.4%
3 Years	84.5%	-90.1%	-0.41	-32.5%
5 Years	73.3%	-93.7%	-0.41	-27.9%
10 Years	78.1%	-98.6%	-0.38	-27%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Unprofitable business model: The company is currently generating net losses.

🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 382.3 (Elevated multiple compression risk)

Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (84.5%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (73.3%).

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (73.3% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -98.6% in the extended horizon.

Corporate Governance & ISS Scores

Shareholder rights, board structure and audit safety (Scale 1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk)

Overall Governance Risk

8 ISS Score: 8 / 10

Audit Risk

7 ISS Score: 7 / 10

Board Risk

8 ISS Score: 8 / 10

Short Ratio