TLYS
TLYS
US8868851028
Tilly's, Inc.
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Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 60/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.0x).

Beta (Market Relation)
0.04x
Defensive
Volatility (5Y p.a.)
71.5% p.a.
5-Year Horizon
Max Drawdown (5Y)
-96.0%
5-Year Horizon
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32
Return / Risk
Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe
Volatility (p.a.)
Max Drawdown
Sharpe Ratio
Return (p.a.)
1 Year — — — +148%
3 Years 84.6% -92.0% -0.25 -18.3%
5 Years 71.5% -96.0% -0.32 -20.3%
10 Years 66.7% -97.3% -0.15 -7.5%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 74.3 (Elevated multiple compression risk)
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (84.6%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (71.5%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (71.5% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -97.3% in the extended horizon.

Corporate Governance & ISS Scores

Shareholder rights, board structure and audit safety (Scale 1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk)
Overall Governance Risk
-
Audit Risk
-
Board Risk
-
Short Ratio
0.57
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