ULTJ.JK
ULTJ.JK
ID1000063100
Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Tradi
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Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 90/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±28.5% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.2x).

Beta (Market Relation)
0.17x
Defensive
Volatility (5Y p.a.)
28.5% p.a.
5-Year Horizon
Max Drawdown (5Y)
-40.1%
5-Year Horizon
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Return / Risk
Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe
Volatility (p.a.)
Max Drawdown
Sharpe Ratio
Return (p.a.)
1 Year — — — +55.9%
3 Years 32.9% -38.4% 0.15 +7.5%
5 Years 28.5% -40.1% 0.14 +6.3%
10 Years 28.8% -40.1% 0.13 +6.2%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.
🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (32.9%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (28.5%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (28.5% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -40.1% in the extended horizon.
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