4979.TWO - Risk

Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 90/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±67.3% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves approx. 2.3x as much as the broader market.

Beta (Market Relation)

2.28x

Above average

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

67.3% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-58.5%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

1.48

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	+165.9%
3 Years	69.5%	-55.5%	0.83	+60.3%
5 Years	67.3%	-58.5%	1.48	+102.4%
10 Years	59.4%	-75.9%	0.53	+34.2%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.

High market risk: Beta of 2.28 indicates above-average volatility compared to the broader market.

🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 93.5 (Elevated multiple compression risk)

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (67.3% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -75.9% in the extended horizon.